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On the decentralized betting platform Polymarket, a prediction market regarding the potential return of Jesus Christ in 2025 has garnered over $763,000 in trading activity. Currently, participants are estimating only a 2% likelihood of this event occurring before the year concludes.

The Holy Bet

The question posed, “Will Jesus Christ return in 2025?”, will be resolved affirmatively only if the Second Coming occurs by 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2025.

• Polymarket states that the resolution will depend on a “consensus of credible sources,” although the criteria for what constitutes “credible” are not specified. If no consensus is reached, the market will resolve to “No.”
• The odds have been on a downward trend since reaching a peak of approximately 3.3% in May, currently sitting at 2%, which is a decline of 1 percentage point from the previous week.

The Reactions

This market has attracted a mix of skeptics and believers.

• One bettor commented, “I placed a $1 bet on Yes for the culture. If he returns, I can proudly say I believed.”
• Another remarked, “If Christ does come back, the debt incurred from this bet won’t matter. It’s a win-win.”
• Some users speculated that the current global turmoil might be reviving religious fervor. “With so many global crises converging, many believers view 2025 as a significant turning point,” one comment suggested.
• Conversely, others mocked the notion. “If you bet Yes, what will that money do for you in the end times?” a user questioned.

This isn’t the first unusual market to gain traction on Polymarket; other listings include predictions about alien disclosures (with a 6% chance of U.S. confirmation in 2025) and political events like Donald Trump resigning (4%).

Testing Boundaries

Despite its controversial nature, the “Jesus market” illustrates how blockchain-based prediction platforms are pushing the limits of speculation. It merges elements of faith, finance, and internet culture into a single tradable asset.

Polymarket operates on the Polygon blockchain, allowing users to place bets using USDC, a stablecoin pegged to the dollar.

• The platform has previously faced regulatory challenges; in 2022, its parent company settled allegations with the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission for offering unregistered binary options contracts.
• Recently, regulators concluded their investigation into the platform.

While wagering on divine events may always spark debate, the market indicates that those who placed bets on “Yes” are likely to leave empty-handed by the end of 2025.

For now, according to market sentiment, the prospect of the Second Coming of Christ remains a long shot.

This article is published on BitPinas: Will Jesus Christ Return in 2025? Polymarket Bettors Say There’s Only a 2% Chance

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